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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
BL

Southampton
2 - 2
Burnley

Livramento (41'), Broja (50')
Elyounoussi (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cornet (13', 57')
Cork (42'), Rodriguez (70'), Westwood (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 26.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBurnley
45.98%27.46%26.56%
Both teams to score 46.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.15%58.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64%79.35%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41%25.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54%60.46%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.91%38.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.14%74.85%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 45.97%
    Burnley 26.56%
    Draw 27.45%
SouthamptonDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 13.28%
2-0 @ 9.05%
2-1 @ 8.74%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 3.97%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-1 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.97%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 9.75%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 9.41%
1-2 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 26.56%

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