Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 45.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 25.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
