Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.58%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
