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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Luz
T

Benfica
2 - 1
Tondela

Silva (71'), Gilberto (88')
Pizzi (9'), Everton (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Agra (22')
Khacef (19'), Niasse (35'), Undabarrena (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 71.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawTondela
71.09%17.65%11.25%
Both teams to score 48.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.7%41.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.3%63.7%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.65%10.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.17%33.83%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.05%45.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.32%81.68%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 71.08%
    Tondela 11.25%
    Draw 17.66%
BenficaDrawTondela
2-0 @ 12.23%
1-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 9.51%
3-0 @ 9.25%
3-1 @ 7.19%
4-0 @ 5.25%
4-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 2.8%
5-0 @ 2.38%
5-1 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 71.08%
1-1 @ 8.39%
0-0 @ 4.76%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 17.66%
0-1 @ 3.7%
1-2 @ 3.26%
0-2 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 11.25%

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