SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.04%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 6.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
82.04% ( -1.25) | 11.7% ( 0.7) | 6.27% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 48.72% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.81% ( -1.23) | 29.18% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.8% ( -1.51) | 50.2% ( 1.51) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.71% ( -0.44) | 5.29% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.17% ( -1.31) | 20.83% ( 1.31) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.44% ( 0.7) | 48.55% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.36% ( 0.5) | 83.63% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
| 2-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.36)5-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.07)6-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.14)5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.72% Total : 82.03% | 1-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.78% Total : 11.7% | 1-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.44% Total : 6.27% |
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