SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
52.17% ( 0.44) | 24.91% ( 0.21) | 22.93% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 49.91% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( -1.43) | 52.14% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( -1.25) | 73.86% ( 1.24) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( -0.38) | 19.97% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.86% ( -0.62) | 52.14% ( 0.61) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% ( -1.4) | 37.63% ( 1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.59% ( -1.4) | 74.41% ( 1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.93% |
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