SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
63.82% ( -0.07) | 21.93% ( 0.03) | 14.25% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.69% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( -0.02) | 52.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( -0.01) | 74.15% ( 0.02) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( -0.03) | 15.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.06) | 45.03% ( 0.06) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.92% ( 0.06) | 48.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.71% ( 0.04) | 83.29% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% 2-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.86% Total : 63.81% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.92% | 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 14.25% |
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