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B
Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 9, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal
B

Braga
1 - 1
Benfica

Braga win 5-4 on penalties
Elmusrati (36')
Racic (55'), Castro (88'), Niakate (92'), Tormena (100'), Oliveira (106'), Banza (113')
FT
(aet)
Guedes (15')
Otamendi (83'), Vlachodimos (111'), Morato (115')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 4-1 Famalicao
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Maritimo vs. Braga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Next Game: Brugge vs. Benfica
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Champions League

We say: Braga 2-1 Benfica (after extra time)

A closely-fought contest between two top teams in Portugal is set to take place on Wednesday, one that could even go beyond the 90 minutes. Braga have has the better of this fixture in recent seasons, winning four of their last five home meetings with Benfica, and although the Eagles will fancy their chances, the hosts may do just enough to edge through to the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Braga had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (6.67%).

Result
BragaDrawBenfica
23.66% (-0.791 -0.79) 23.97% (-0.372 -0.37) 52.37% (1.167 1.17)
Both teams to score 53.63% (0.306 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.36% (0.828 0.83)47.64% (-0.825 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.16% (0.761 0.76)69.84% (-0.758 -0.76)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)34.47% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (-0.26 -0.26)71.18% (0.262 0.26)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (0.76900000000001 0.77)18.16% (-0.766 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (1.292 1.29)49.14% (-1.289 -1.29)
Score Analysis
    Braga 23.66%
    Benfica 52.36%
    Draw 23.97%
BragaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 6.67% (-0.278 -0.28)
2-1 @ 6.06% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 23.66%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 10.67% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 9.11% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.52% (0.178 0.18)
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.075 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.35% (0.131 0.13)
0-4 @ 2.21% (0.137 0.14)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 52.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Famalicao
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Wednesday, February 1 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Boavista
Saturday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 3-2 Guimaraes
Wednesday, January 11 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-4 Braga
Thursday, January 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Tuesday, January 31 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, January 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, January 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Varzim 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal


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