Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Boavista |
36.58% ( 0.01) | 26.65% ( 0.2) | 36.76% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 52.05% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.06% ( -0.86) | 52.93% ( 0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.46% ( -0.74) | 74.54% ( 0.73) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( -0.41) | 27.9% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% ( -0.52) | 63.51% ( 0.51) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% ( -0.54) | 27.8% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% ( -0.69) | 63.38% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.58% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.76% |
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