Estoril Praia have had a difficult start to the season, but have proven to be competitive in every single match they have played, which is likely going to be the case again this weekend.
However, Boavista could end up having slightly too much for them here, particularly due to the confidence that has come from their undefeated start.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Boavista in this match.
-0.52) 
0.58) 
