Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Boavista in this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
38.61% ( -0.52) | 27.22% ( -0.07) | 34.17% ( 0.58) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.59% ( 0.33) | 55.41% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.39% ( 0.27) | 76.6% ( -0.27) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% ( -0.14) | 27.91% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.47% ( -0.18) | 63.52% ( 0.17) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% ( 0.54) | 30.61% ( -0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.15% ( 0.64) | 66.85% ( -0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.6% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.16% |
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