This clash sees the league's weakest home side go up against the poorest travellers, with both teams' struggles rooted in their lack of cutting edge in the final third — Boavista have found the net just four times at the Bessa, while Estrela have managed only three away goals.
With neither side showing the firepower to spark attacking fluency, we predict a low-scoring stalemate.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 43.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
-0) 
0) 
