SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 91.09%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 2.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (11.62%) and 2-0 (11.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.13%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
91.09% ( 0.05) | 6.57% ( -0.03) | 2.33% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 37.41% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.24% ( 0.11) | 23.76% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.72% ( 0.14) | 43.28% ( -0.13) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.03% ( 0.02) | 2.97% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 86.58% ( 0.07) | 13.42% ( -0.07) |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.56% ( 0.02) | 61.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.63% ( 0.01) | 91.37% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 3-0 @ 13.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)7-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)8-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 91.08% | 1-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 6.58% | Other @ 2.33% Total : 2.33% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
