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N
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
B

Nacional
0 - 0
Boavista


Dias (11'), Jorge Rocha Simao (82')
FT

Injai Gomes (20'), Silva (47'), Margarido (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-0 Nacional
Sunday, November 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, November 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Nacional 1-1 Boavista

It has been a difficult start to the campaign for Nacional and Boavista, who find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table after 11 rounds of matches.  Boavista's form on the road has been nothing to write home about this year and we see them struggling at the Estadio da Madeira once again.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBoavista
39.69% (0.318 0.32) 25.39% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 34.92% (-0.38 -0.38)
Both teams to score 56.17% (-0.283 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38% (-0.338 -0.34)47.62% (0.34 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (-0.314 -0.31)69.82% (0.316 0.32)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (0.013000000000005 0.01)23.73% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.14% (0.019000000000005 0.02)57.86% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-0.38199999999999 -0.38)26.36% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5% (-0.514 -0.51)61.5% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 39.69%
    Boavista 34.92%
    Draw 25.38%
NacionalDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 9% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.095 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 39.69%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.34% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.47% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 34.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-0 Nacional
Sunday, November 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Santa Clara
Monday, November 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Nacional
Tuesday, October 29 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Nacional
Friday, October 25 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Uniao de Leiria 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, November 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Boavista
Saturday, November 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-2 Moreirense
Saturday, October 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Varzim 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, October 20 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Boavista
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Boavista
Sunday, September 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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