No doubt, it has been a very tough month for Sporting, but given their record in this fixture combined with Boavista's poor form this season, we feel Os Leoes will get their much-needed victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.59%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 7.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.24%) and 1-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Boavista
78.59% ( 0.02)	14.11% ( -0.01)	7.3% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.35% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.43%

37.57% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.2%

59.8% (

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.31% (

7.69% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.58% (

0.01)

27.42% (

-0.01)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.05% (

-0.02)

51.95% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.02% (

-0.02)

85.98% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 78.58%

Boavista 7.3%

Draw 14.11%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Boavista
2-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.24% 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.72% 5-0 @ 3.7% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 78.58%	1-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.11%	0-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 7.3%