Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%).