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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Jan 2, 2021 at 6pm UK
 
B

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Braga

Goncalves (54'), Nunes (78')
Porro (79'), Nunes (90+1'), Antunes (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galeno (37'), Silva (51'), Elmusrati (58'), Magalhaes (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Braga had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
45.3%25.31%29.39%
Both teams to score 54.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91%49.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.84%71.16%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33%21.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2%54.8%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33%30.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08%66.92%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 45.3%
    Braga 29.39%
    Draw 25.31%
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 7.77%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 45.3%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.65%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.85%
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 4.64%
1-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.39%

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