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B
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Dec 28, 2020 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Bessa
B

Boavista
1 - 4
Braga

Castro (66')
Benguche (81')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Paulinho (4'), Medeiros (15'), Horta (26', 69')
Elmusrati (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BoavistaDrawBraga
16.41%21.09%62.5%
Both teams to score 51.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.87%45.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.52%67.48%
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.34%40.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.75%77.25%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.15%13.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.77%41.23%
Score Analysis
    Boavista 16.41%
    Braga 62.5%
    Draw 21.08%
BoavistaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 5.07%
2-1 @ 4.51%
2-0 @ 2.28%
3-1 @ 1.35%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 16.41%
1-1 @ 10.01%
0-0 @ 5.63%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 11.13%
0-2 @ 11%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-3 @ 7.25%
1-3 @ 6.53%
0-4 @ 3.59%
1-4 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.94%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-5 @ 1.42%
1-5 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 62.5%

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