SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 34.85% | 28.6% | 36.54% |
| Both teams to score 45.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.54% | 60.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.41% | 80.58% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% | 32.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.72% | 69.28% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.36% | 31.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.95% | 68.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 7.43% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.59% | 0-1 @ 11.91% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.9% Total : 36.53% |
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