Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 84.62%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 4.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.24%) and 4-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
84.62% (![]() | 10.58% (![]() | 4.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.04% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.33% (![]() | 30.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.01% (![]() | 52% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.89% (![]() | 5.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.69% (![]() | 20.32% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.36% (![]() | 54.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.34% (![]() | 87.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
2-0 @ 12.35% (![]() 3-0 @ 12.24% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 9.1% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.31% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.25% Total : 84.62% | 1-1 @ 5.02% (![]() 0-0 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.51% Total : 10.58% | 0-1 @ 1.69% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 1.61% Total : 4.81% |
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