SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia |
48.29% ( 0.06) | 25.72% ( -0.03) | 25.98% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.55% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% ( 0.08) | 52.83% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( 0.07) | 74.45% ( -0.07) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( 0.06) | 21.89% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% ( 0.09) | 55.14% ( -0.09) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.71% ( 0.01) | 35.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.95% ( 0.01) | 72.04% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.98% |
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