Given that Braga have scored at least two goals in 10 of their 11 away league wins this season, we expect Artur Jorge's men to cruise to a comfortable victory over Casa Pia, who are on course to suffer a fifth defeat in eight outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Braga
17.64% ( 0.01)	20.79% ( 0.01)	61.57% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.73% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.37% (

-0.01)

41.62% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.97% (

-0.01)

64.02% (

0.01)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.92% (

0.01)

37.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.14% (

0.01)

73.86% (

-0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.98% (

-0.01)

13.02% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.44% (

-0.02)

39.56% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 17.64%

Braga 61.57%

Draw 20.79%

Casa Pia	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 4.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.38% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.64%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.79%	0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.77% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.48% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.36% 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 61.57%