With their respective European qualification ambitions on the line, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio Pina Manique. While Casa Pia will be looking to make it three straight home wins, Amorim's side boasts the firepower needed to get this one over the line and we are backing them to claim all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
0.46) 
-0.94) 
