SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
23.3% ( -0.19) | 25.58% ( 0.09) | 51.11% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.36% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.6% ( -0.5) | 54.4% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% ( -0.42) | 75.77% ( 0.42) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( -0.46) | 38.54% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.71% ( -0.44) | 75.29% ( 0.44) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( -0.17) | 21.31% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% ( -0.26) | 54.26% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.1% |
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