SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Famalicao | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
36.64% ( 0.03) | 27.61% ( 0.07) | 35.76% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.23% ( -0.25) | 56.77% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.29% ( -0.2) | 77.71% ( 0.2) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( -0.1) | 29.73% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.21% ( -0.13) | 65.79% ( 0.13) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( -0.19) | 30.28% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.55% ( -0.22) | 66.45% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.75% |
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