Gil Vincente and Famalicao have struggled to impose themselves early on and will head into the weekend in need of a morale-boosting result. While we expect a thrilling contest with both sides throwing the kitchen sink for all three points, we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
3.45) 
-0.75) 
