Sunday's game sees two sides who have stumbled into the new season go head to head and we expect them to go all out against each other in search of their first league win. However, Santa Clara have struggled for results on the road and we predict that Famalicao will make use of their home advantage to claim a slender victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
-0.2) 
0.25) 
