Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 29, 2022 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio Do Vizela

Vizela
2 - 2
Gil Vicente

Bondoso (45'), Anderson (45+5')
Guzzo (7'), Afonso (28')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Navarro (8' pen.), Boselli (26')
Tiba (39'), Cunha (45+2'), Aburjania (66'), Boselli (70'), Marin (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Vizela 1-2 Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente will head into the game seeking to restore some pride following their Europa Conference League qualifying heartbreak. The Gilistas have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we predict that they will extend their dominance over the hosts and claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Gil Vicente
36.47% ( 0.46)	27.33% ( 0.05)	36.2% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 49.87% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.33% (

-0.18)

55.67% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.17% (

-0.15)

76.82% (

0.15)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.7% (

0.19)

29.3% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

0.24)

65.26% (

-0.24)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

-0.4)

29.46% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54% (

-0.49)

65.46% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Vizela 36.46%

Gil Vicente 36.2%

Draw 27.32%

Vizela	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.46%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.32%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.2%