SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Chaves | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Vizela | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 6 | -3 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
39.2% ( -1.49) | 27.04% ( 0.34) | 33.76% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.26% ( -1.13) | 54.74% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% ( -0.95) | 76.05% ( 0.95) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% ( -1.34) | 27.25% ( 1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.32% ( -1.78) | 62.68% ( 1.78) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( 0.19) | 30.54% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( 0.23) | 66.77% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.14% Total : 33.76% |
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