SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Famalicao | 6 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Pacos de Ferreira | 5 | -9 | 0 |
| 18 | Maritimo | 5 | -12 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 6 | -3 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 39%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Gil Vicente |
39% ( 0.28) | 27.7% ( -0.25) | 33.3% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.43% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.65% ( 0.9) | 57.34% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% ( 0.71) | 78.17% ( -0.71) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( 0.59) | 28.61% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% ( 0.74) | 64.41% ( -0.74) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.83% ( 0.44) | 32.16% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.35% ( 0.49) | 68.65% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.75% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.32)2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.29% |
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