Off the back of a shock defeat, Porto will head into the weekend desperate to restore some price and set the pace for the Champions League clash. Conceicao's side have been imperious in the history of this fixture and we are backing them to make light work of the floundering Gil Vicente side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Porto
20.8% ( -1)	22.94% ( -0.41)	56.26% ( 1.41)

Both teams to score 53.13% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.54% (

0.56)

46.46% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.26% (

0.52)

68.74% (

-0.52)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.49% (

-0.67)

36.51% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.71% (

-0.68)

73.3% (

0.68)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.68% (

0.7)

16.32% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.1% (

1.25)

45.9% (

-1.25)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 20.8%

Porto 56.26%

Draw 22.94%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 6% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.8%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.94%	0-1 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.23% Total : 56.26%