Sporting Lisbon have staggered into the new season and find themselves five points off rivals Porto at the top of the standings. However, they return home where they are currently on a run of seven wins from their last eight games, and we are backing them to extend their dominance against this weekend's visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 15.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Chaves
64.41% ( 0.42)	19.9% ( -0.09)	15.69% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 53.49% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.82% (

-0.21)

41.18% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.43% (

-0.21)

63.57% (

0.21)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92% (

0.05)

12.08% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.4% (

0.11)

37.6% (

-0.11)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.84% (

-0.54)

39.16% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.12% (

-0.52)

75.88% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 64.4%

Chaves 15.69%

Draw 19.9%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Chaves
2-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.66% Total : 64.4%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.9%	0-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.97% Total : 15.69%