Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Chaves
38% ( 0.02)	28.05% ( -0)	33.95% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.46% (

0.01)

58.53% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.89% (

79.11% (

-0)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

0.02)

29.77% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15% (

0.02)

65.85% (

-0.02)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.66% (

-0.01)

32.34% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.15% (

-0.01)

68.84% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 38%

Chaves 33.94%

Draw 28.04%

Rio Ave	Draw	Chaves
1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.94%