Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.72%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.27%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Chaves |
79.72% (![]() | 13.36% (![]() | 6.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.68% (![]() | 35.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.66% (![]() | 57.34% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.04% (![]() | 6.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.49% (![]() | 25.5% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.64% (![]() | 51.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.42% (![]() | 85.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Chaves |
2-0 @ 12.69% (![]() 3-0 @ 11.27% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.52% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.51% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.92% Total : 79.71% | 1-1 @ 6.35% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() Other @ 0.62% Total : 13.36% | 0-1 @ 2.38% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 6.92% |
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