SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Chaves |
46.79% ( 0.3) | 26.16% ( -0.4) | 27.05% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.1% ( 1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.17% ( 1.56) | 53.82% ( -1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.71% ( 1.29) | 75.29% ( -1.3) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( 0.81) | 22.98% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.22% ( 1.18) | 56.78% ( -1.18) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( 0.92) | 34.94% ( -0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% ( 0.96) | 71.69% ( -0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.78% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.5)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.05% |
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