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T
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
E

Tondela
1 - 2
Estoril

Boselli (50')
Boselli (22'), Dadasov (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Jorge Tavares Oliveira (20'), Acevedo (44')
Soria (8'), Geraldes (36'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (74'), Gamboa (78'), Rosier (78'), Figueira (81'), Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 47.05%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
TondelaDrawEstoril Praia
25.7%27.25%47.05%
Both teams to score 45.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.36%58.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.81%79.19%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.28%38.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54%75.46%
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03%24.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39%59.61%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 25.7%
    Estoril Praia 47.05%
    Draw 27.24%
TondelaDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 9.17%
2-1 @ 6.04%
2-0 @ 4.35%
3-1 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.38%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 25.7%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.67%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 13.41%
0-2 @ 9.31%
1-2 @ 8.83%
0-3 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 4.09%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.49%
1-4 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 47.05%

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