SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 37.06% | 29.43% | 33.52% |
| Both teams to score 43.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.67% | 63.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.3% | 82.71% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% | 32.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.65% | 69.35% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% | 35.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.1% | 71.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.41% | 0-1 @ 12.05% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.14% Total : 33.52% |
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