Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
