Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
37.54%	26.81%	35.65%

Both teams to score 51.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.38%

53.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.88%

75.12%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33%

27.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.78%

63.22%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2%

28.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36%

64.64%

Score Analysis

Braga 37.53%

Sporting Lisbon 35.65%

Draw 26.81%

Braga	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2% Total : 37.53%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.65%