Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
37.54% | 26.81% | 35.65% |
Both teams to score 51.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.38% | 53.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.88% | 75.12% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% | 27.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.78% | 63.22% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.2% | 28.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.36% | 64.64% |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 10.23% 2-1 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.92% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.65% |
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