Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
