SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | SC Farense |
48.59% ( -0.29) | 24.21% ( -0.01) | 27.2% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.35% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.26) | 45.69% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( 0.25) | 68.01% ( -0.25) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( -0.02) | 18.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.63% ( -0.02) | 50.37% ( 0.02) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% ( 0.36) | 30.53% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.25% ( 0.43) | 66.75% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.59% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.2% |
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