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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
B

Belenenses
0 - 1
Braga


Henriques (12'), Akas (34'), Baraye (81')
Sandro (83'), Sithole (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Horta (90')
Carmo (61'), Tormena (82'), Couto (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Belenenses 1-2 Braga

Fresh off the back of a resilient display at Famalicao, Belenenses will head into Saturday's game with renewed confidence as they look to steer clear of the relegation zone. However, next up is an opposing side who are unbeaten in 16 of the last 20 meetings between the sides. While we expect O Belem to take a cautious approach to the game, we are tipping Braga to come away with all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
BelenensesDrawBraga
18.5%24.7%56.81%
Both teams to score 44.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81%56.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76%77.25%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.34%44.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.34%80.66%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29%19.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.28%51.73%
Score Analysis
    Belenenses 18.5%
    Braga 56.8%
    Draw 24.69%
BelenensesDrawBraga
1-0 @ 7.1%
2-1 @ 4.65%
2-0 @ 2.86%
3-1 @ 1.25%
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 18.5%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 8.81%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 14.29%
0-2 @ 11.6%
1-2 @ 9.36%
0-3 @ 6.28%
1-3 @ 5.07%
0-4 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 56.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Belenenses
Sunday, April 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 1-0 Vizela
Saturday, April 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Belenenses
Saturday, April 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 0-0 Boavista
Saturday, March 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Porto
Monday, April 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-0 Braga
Monday, April 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rangers 3-1 Braga
Thursday, April 14 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Braga
Sunday, April 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Rangers
Thursday, April 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Braga 3-2 Benfica
Friday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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