Sunday will certainly be a tough opening test for Sporting Lisbon against one of the Primeira Liga's strongest sides, but we see Ruben Amorim's men coming away with all three points.
With Benfica already putting three points on the board, Os Leoes will know the importance of a strong start in the fight for the title, and we anticipate them securing a narrow victory away from home.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Braga had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
-0.38) 
0.61) 
