Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 29, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
3 - 1
Estoril

Marin (45+2'), Tavares (66'), Kadile (90+4')
Assuncao (26'), De La Fuente (49'), Kadile (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fonte (68')
Geraldes (23')
Ferraresi (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

Last Six:

Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Braga
Sunday, May 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Pacos de Ferreira	34	-15	38
12	Famalicao	33	-7	36
13	Estoril Praia	33	-9	36

We said: Famalicao 1-1 Estoril Praia

Estoril Praia have struggled to get going away from home, where they are yet to pick up a win this year. With just one defeat in their last eight home games, Famalicao head into Friday as slight favourites to come away with all three points. However, given their similar form and evenly-matched squad, we predict a share of the spoils with both sides doing just enough to come away with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Estoril Praia
50.6%	26.06%	23.34%

Both teams to score 47.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.89%

56.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.82%

77.18%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.76%

22.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.33%

55.67%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.53%

39.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.84%

76.16%

Score Analysis

Famalicao 50.6%

Estoril Praia 23.34%

Draw 26.05%

Famalicao	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 13.19% 2-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.22% 3-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.93% Total : 50.6%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.34%