Moreirense and Famalicao have stumbled into the new year and will head into the weekend looking to return to winning ways. However, Os verdes e brancos' home advantage gives them a slight edge and we fancy them to claim all three points, albeit by the odd goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
