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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
FL

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Famalicao

Silva (38')
Fernandes (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mihaj (54'), de Haas (59'), Chiquinho (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Boavista
Monday, March 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 3-1 Famalicao

With just 10 games left to go, Vitoria de Guimaraes know that they must avoid any further slip-ups in their quest for European football. Having secured a morale-boosting result at Estoril last time out, we are tipping Pacheco's men to pick up where they left off and claim all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawFamalicao
49.93% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 24.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 25.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)49.61% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)71.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.86% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)34.14% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.17% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.83% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.93%
    Famalicao 25.28%
    Draw 24.78%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 49.93%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 25.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Benfica
Sunday, February 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-1 Gil Vicente
Thursday, February 8 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Boavista
Monday, March 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 3-2 Famalicao
Friday, February 23 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Rio Ave
Friday, February 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, February 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, January 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Braga
Thursday, January 18 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga


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