Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
49.93% ( 0.02) | 24.79% ( -0) | 25.28% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.39% ( -0.01) | 49.61% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% ( -0.01) | 71.63% ( 0.01) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.12% ( 0.01) | 19.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48% ( 0.01) | 52% ( -0.01) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.86% ( -0.02) | 34.14% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.17% ( -0.02) | 70.83% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.84% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.28% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: