SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Rio Ave |
49.83% ( -0.19) | 25.73% ( 0.08) | 24.44% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.99% ( -0.21) | 54.01% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.55% ( -0.17) | 75.45% ( 0.17) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.29% ( -0.17) | 21.71% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.14% ( -0.25) | 54.86% ( 0.25) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.72% ( -0.02) | 37.28% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% ( -0.02) | 74.06% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 49.82% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.44% |
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