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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Jan 3, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
M

Porto
3 - 0
Moreirense

Oliveira (22' pen.), Martinez (88'), Evanilson (90+1')
Corona (30'), Martinez (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 8.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 3-0 (11.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawMoreirense
75.79%16.15%8.06%
Both teams to score 40.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.56%44.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18%66.82%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01%9.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.98%33.02%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.32%54.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.31%87.69%
Score Analysis
    Porto 75.77%
    Moreirense 8.06%
    Draw 16.15%
PortoDrawMoreirense
2-0 @ 14.49%
1-0 @ 12.58%
3-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 6.72%
4-0 @ 6.41%
4-1 @ 3.87%
5-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 2.03%
5-1 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.17%
6-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 75.77%
1-1 @ 7.6%
0-0 @ 5.47%
2-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 16.15%
0-1 @ 3.3%
1-2 @ 2.29%
0-2 @ 1%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 8.06%

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