Buoyed by their victory over Vitoria de Guimaraes last time out, Belenenses will be looking to build on that performance and begin their push from the bottom of the standings. However, they face a Gil Vicente side who have hit their stride since the turn of the year. We are backing Gil Vicente to maintain their fine run and come away with all three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
