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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Feb 5, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Bessa
GV

Boavista
1 - 2
Gil Vicente

Paulinho (44' og.)
Gomes (68'), Rami (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lino (24' pen.), Baraye (85')
Nogueira (32'), Afonso (70'), Baraye (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
BoavistaDrawGil Vicente
29.35%29.15%41.5%
Both teams to score 43.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.71%63.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.32%82.68%
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.74%38.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.98%75.02%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91%30.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78%66.22%
Score Analysis
    Boavista 29.34%
    Gil Vicente 41.49%
    Draw 29.15%
BoavistaDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 6.38%
2-0 @ 5.31%
3-1 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 29.34%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 3.83%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.15%
0-1 @ 13.82%
0-2 @ 8.3%
1-2 @ 7.98%
0-3 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 41.49%

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