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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 14, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal
GV

Portimonense
4 - 1
Gil Vicente

Antonio (1'), Salmani (33'), Boa Morte (72'), Beto (86')
Possignolo (37'), Moufi (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lino (26' pen.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawGil Vicente
40.12%28.75%31.13%
Both teams to score 44.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.52%61.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.65%81.35%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02%29.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91%66.09%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12%35.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34%72.66%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 40.11%
    Gil Vicente 31.13%
    Draw 28.74%
PortimonenseDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 12.95%
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 7.81%
3-1 @ 3.21%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 1.65%
4-1 @ 0.97%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.75%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.74%
0-1 @ 11.02%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2%
Total : 31.13%

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