Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
